Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002820 0.002947 0.003076 0.003217 0.003368 0.003523 0.003696
2025-02-16 0.002580 0.002771 0.002973 0.003203 0.003458 0.003733 0.004053
2025-02-23 0.002418 0.002645 0.002891 0.003179 0.003508 0.003873 0.004312
2025-03-02 0.002328 0.002586 0.002870 0.003211 0.003609 0.004063 0.004624
2025-03-09 0.002229 0.002506 0.002817 0.003196 0.003649 0.004177 0.004846
2025-03-16 0.002140 0.002431 0.002763 0.003174 0.003674 0.004269 0.005040
2025-03-23 0.002048 0.002348 0.002694 0.003129 0.003666 0.004316 0.005176
2025-03-30 0.001969 0.002276 0.002635 0.003090 0.003661 0.004364 0.005311
2025-04-06 0.001919 0.002236 0.002610 0.003092 0.003706 0.004473 0.005526
2025-04-13 0.001824 0.002138 0.002512 0.002997 0.003622 0.004413 0.005514
2025-04-20 0.001785 0.002107 0.002494 0.003002 0.003665 0.004516 0.005723
2025-04-27 0.001767 0.002100 0.002506 0.003045 0.003757 0.004687 0.006030
2025-05-04 0.001712 0.002046 0.002457 0.003008 0.003744 0.004717 0.006145
2025-05-11 0.001671 0.002009 0.002428 0.002996 0.003764 0.004793 0.006328
2025-05-18 0.001628 0.001968 0.002393 0.002975 0.003769 0.004847 0.006479
2025-05-25 0.001609 0.001958 0.002397 0.003003 0.003842 0.004998 0.006781
2025-06-01 0.001574 0.001925 0.002370 0.002990 0.003857 0.005066 0.006958
2025-06-08 0.001538 0.001890 0.002339 0.002970 0.003860 0.005116 0.007112
2025-06-15 0.001496 0.001845 0.002294 0.002929 0.003833 0.005120 0.007191
2025-06-22 0.001457 0.001805 0.002254 0.002893 0.003811 0.005131 0.007282
2025-06-29 0.001435 0.001786 0.002241 0.002895 0.003843 0.005223 0.007505
2025-07-06 0.001381 0.001722 0.002167 0.002809 0.003743 0.005111 0.007392
2025-07-13 0.001362 0.001706 0.002157 0.002813 0.003777 0.005204 0.007619